The Basics of Behavioral Segmentation

What is Behavioral Segmentation?

There are lots of things that you can try to learn about your customers. For example, you might want to gather information on how old they are, where they live, and whether they are married and have kids. You’re probably also using information about how often they buy from you and when they last bought from you to predict their likelihood of buying again in the future. Knowing such information can help you optimize your loyalty program and target the most enticing rewards and marketing communication to a particular group of consumers.

Traditional customer segmentation has often been based on demograhpics, geographics and socioeconomic status. However, as Gibson Biddle, former VP of Product at Netflix pointed out in his Habit Summit talk earlier this year, common demographics tend to predict consumer preferences rather poorly. Instead, what people do are often more telling about their taste and what they may like or dislike. Together with an increasing amount of available data about consumers, this has prompted rising interests in behavioral segmentation, that is, segmentation based on what people do. Over the course of this year, I have worked with a CASC business partner on a customer segmentation project using loyalty program data. The practice has been really insightful in revealing hidden groups of customers for great targeted marketing opportunities that may not have been apparent on first look. Continue reading “The Basics of Behavioral Segmentation”

Loyalty Program Review: Chipotle Rewards

Chipotle, the fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in Mexican food, has launched a new loyalty program called Chipotle Rewards. The company is currently beta testing the program in three markets: Phoenix, AZ; Kansas City, MO/KS; and Columbus, OH, and plans to roll out nationwide in 2019. For this week’s blog, I thought it would be fun to do a professional review of the new program using the five criteria for assessing loyalty program value I wrote about previously.

First, a few details about Chipotle Rewards. The program is free to join. Members earn 10 points per $1 spent at its restaurants or through catering orders, and 15 points per $1 for orders placed via its website or mobile app. There will be bonus actions consumers can complete to earn additional points. Once a member accumulates 1250 points, those points can be redeemed for a free regular-priced entrée item. Rewards expire after 60 days. Till Nov. 21, 2018, the program is offering a joining incentive of a free order of Chips & Guac after the new member makes the first purchase under the program. Let’s take a look at how this design stacks up against the five value criteria.

Criterion #1: Cash Value

In my geographic area, a typical entrée on the Chipotle menu costs about $7~$8. Together with the point earning ratio of 10 points per $1 and a reward threshold of 1250 points, we can calculate the reward ratio to be ($7~$8/1250)*10 = $0.056~$0.064 per dollar spent (or 5.6%~6.4%). This reward ratio is pretty high compared with a typical credit card reward program, but how does it compare with other restaurant loyalty programs? Chipotle’s direct competitor, QDOBA, also runs a loyalty program called QDOBA Rewards. The program requires 3000 points for a free entrée priced at the $8 range, with lower thresholds for cheaper items. The earning ratio for QDOBA Rewards is the same 10 points per $1 at the two lower tiers (Recruit and Apprentice), and goes up to 15 points per $1 for the Pro tier and 20 points per $1 for the highest Champ tier. Putting these numbers together, it appears QDOBA Rewards has a base reward ratio of about 2.67% for the two lower tiers, and 4% and 5.33% for the two higher tiers. Comparatively speaking, Chipotle Rewards offers a higher cash value. However, considering the bonus points per visit offered to higher-tier members of QDOBA Rewards, the two programs are more comparable in cash value at the higher tiers. Continue reading “Loyalty Program Review: Chipotle Rewards”

Measuring Loyalty Program Performance and ROI Part 3

I hope you have enjoyed reading Part 1 and Part 2 of the loyalty program performance measurement series. In this last portion, let’s look at what your metrics should be for the last two types of program goals: to attract new customers, and to gain customer insight.

Metrics When New Customer Acquisition is the Goal

The obvious metric for measuring new customer acquisition is the number of new customers acquired as a result of the loyalty program. Although it seems rather straightforward, it is necessary to note a few things about this. One, depending on the nature of your business, determining who are new customers may not be so easy. An online retail business typically has customers’ name and contact information. So identifying and determining the number of new customers is pretty straightforward. Without such information, a new loyalty program member may simply be an existing customer who decided to sign up for the program. Therefore, it is generally not a good idea to count sign-ups for the loyalty program as a metric for customer acquisition.

Instead, you may want to leverage POS data to identify new credit cards that have not previously been used at your business. This is not 100% accurate either obviously, as existing customers may simply be using a different credit card. But it is likely to be closer to the true number of new customers. Measurement of foot traffic or sales and then excluding frequency+spending growth by existing members can be another crude measure of new business. Finally, it is also possible to draw a random sample of your visiting customers and ask the simple question of whether it is the first time that they are buying from your store. Whichever approach you use, it’ll be best to have some baseline customer acquisition numbers before the program was established to compare the new numbers to. Continue reading “Measuring Loyalty Program Performance and ROI Part 3”